Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 5

MarsoniaHOME · -

79 : 812023.11.05 · 종료

SamoborAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.1%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY45.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100

AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +54.1%

VALUE EDGE+54.1%

FAIR ODDS1.85

GRADEA

MarsoniaAnalysis MetricsSamobor

41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%

-1.00 Point MarginHigher is better -4.33

156.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.67

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%

6.2일 Rest daysComparison metric 8.4일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.5 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement13.3 / 15

Prediction separation3.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

54.1%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

45.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Marsonia

L · 88-75L · 94-102W · 75-77L · 60-80

Samobor

W · 82-89W · 73-88L · 75-84L · 91-70L · 84-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2025.04.18	Marsonia	98 : 77	Samobor
2025.01.20	Samobor	100 : 80	Marsonia
2024.02.12	Samobor	97 : 88	Marsonia
2023.11.05	Marsonia	79 : 81	Samobor