Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 3
PodstranaHOME · -
73 : 882023.10.23 · 종료
SamoborAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.4%
VALUE EDGE+54.4%
FAIR ODDS1.84
GRADEA
PodstranaAnalysis MetricsSamobor
0.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-18.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
156.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
164.67
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
9.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.8 / 15
Prediction separation3.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Podstrana
L · 99-57L · 65-94
Samobor
L · 75-84L · 91-70L · 84-75W · 94-73W · 91-79
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.28 | Samobor | 99 : 65 | Podstrana |
| 2023.10.23 | Podstrana | 73 : 88 | Samobor |