Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 3
MarsoniaHOME · -
94 : 1022023.10.23 · 종료
KvarnerAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME33.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY67.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+67.0%
VALUE EDGE+67.0%
FAIR ODDS1.49
GRADEA
MarsoniaAnalysis MetricsKvarner
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
66.7%
-1.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+7.42
156.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
165.92
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
8.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation14.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Marsonia
W · 75-77L · 60-80
Kvarner
W · 99-57W · 91-70L · 86-63W · 60-51L · 74-66
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.01.29 | Kvarner | 96 : 56 | Marsonia |
| 2023.10.23 | Marsonia | 94 : 102 | Kvarner |