Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 3
HermesHOME · -
107 : 872023.10.22 · 종료
MladostAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.9%
VALUE EDGE+65.9%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADES
HermesAnalysis MetricsMladost
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
-4.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-12.42
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
151.92
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation13.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Hermes
W · 75-84L · 100-69W · 121-78W · 74-92W · 49-95
Mladost
L · 72-97W · 74-90W · 74-104L · 74-92L · 84-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.04.06 | Hermes | 64 : 90 | Mladost |
| 2024.12.22 | Mladost | 89 : 80 | Hermes |
| 2024.03.07 | Mladost | 98 : 84 | Hermes |
| 2023.10.22 | Hermes | 107 : 87 | Mladost |
| 2023.05.12 | Mladost | 74 : 92 | Hermes |
| 2023.01.28 | Mladost | 107 : 75 | Hermes |
| 2022.10.30 | Hermes | 105 : 81 | Mladost |