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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 3
CrikvenicaHOME · -
75 : 692023.10.22 · 종료
StojaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY50.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +50.3%
VALUE EDGE+50.3%
FAIR ODDS1.99
GRADEA
CrikvenicaAnalysis MetricsStoja
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 25.0%
-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better -9.58
148.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 172.75
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement9.1 / 15
Prediction separation0.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
49.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
50.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Crikvenica
L · 85-72L · 74-90
Stoja
L · 97-70L · 121-78W · 105-98L · 91-79W · 95-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.29Stoja59 : 91Crikvenica
2023.10.22Crikvenica75 : 69Stoja