Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

← Matches by Time

Prva Liga Croatia · 3

KastelaHOME · -

74 : 792023.10.21 · 종료

OsijekAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.2%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY37.8%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +62.2%

VALUE EDGE+62.2%

FAIR ODDS1.61

GRADEB

KastelaAnalysis MetricsOsijek

58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%

+5.42 Point MarginHigher is better +8.25

147.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 157.25

66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.8일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement8.6 / 15

Prediction separation10.5 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

62.2%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

37.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Kastela

W · 85-72L · 90-89L · 74-91L · 86-67W · 58-61

Osijek

W · 72-97W · 100-69W · 86-63W · 84-93W · 67-51

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2024.01.29	Osijek	65 : 60	Kastela
2023.10.21	Kastela	74 : 79	Osijek
2023.04.13	Osijek	79 : 92	Kastela
2023.01.12	Osijek	87 : 76	Kastela
2022.10.09	Kastela	80 : 83	Osijek