Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 2
KastelaHOME · -
85 : 722023.10.15 · 종료
CrikvenicaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME68.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+68.3%
VALUE EDGE+68.3%
FAIR ODDS1.46
GRADEA
KastelaAnalysis MetricsCrikvenica
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.58
147.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
148.42
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
7.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kastela
L · 90-89L · 74-91L · 86-67W · 58-61L · 69-61
Crikvenica
L · 74-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.02 | Crikvenica | 52 : 64 | Kastela |
| 2024.10.21 | Kastela | 68 : 64 | Crikvenica |
| 2024.01.25 | Crikvenica | 64 : 92 | Kastela |
| 2023.10.15 | Kastela | 85 : 72 | Crikvenica |