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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 2
OmisHOME · -
75 : 772023.10.15 · 종료
MarsoniaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +53.3%
VALUE EDGE+53.3%
FAIR ODDS1.87
GRADEA
OmisAnalysis MetricsMarsonia
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-4.67 Point MarginHigher is better -1.00
158.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 156.83
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
5.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation2.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
53.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Omis
W · 65-94L · 58-61L · 82-80L · 84-93L · 88-57
Marsonia
L · 60-80

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.04.13Omis84 : 77Marsonia
2025.01.13Marsonia98 : 71Omis
2024.01.25Marsonia83 : 79Omis
2023.10.15Omis75 : 77Marsonia