Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 1
OsijekHOME · -
100 : 692023.10.11 · 종료
HermesAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME55.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+55.0%
VALUE EDGE+55.0%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
OsijekAnalysis MetricsHermes
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+8.25
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.25
157.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
157.25
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation4.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Osijek
W · 86-63W · 84-93W · 67-51W · 65-69W · 96-99
Hermes
W · 121-78W · 74-92W · 49-95W · 98-91W · 89-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.10.11 | Osijek | 100 : 69 | Hermes |
| 2022.12.18 | Hermes | 77 : 101 | Osijek |
| 2022.10.02 | Osijek | 104 : 58 | Hermes |