Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Prva Liga
Croatia · 1
MarsoniaHOME · -
60 : 802023.10.08 · 종료
GoricaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.8%
VALUE EDGE+69.8%
FAIR ODDS1.43
GRADEA
MarsoniaAnalysis MetricsGorica
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-1.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+4.83
156.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.17
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.2 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Marsonia
Collecting Data
Gorica
L · 78-88L · 74-72W · 83-64L · 86-70W · 81-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.10.20 | Gorica | 94 : 82 | Marsonia |
| 2024.01.22 | Gorica | 88 : 77 | Marsonia |
| 2023.10.08 | Marsonia | 60 : 80 | Gorica |