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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Prva Liga Croatia · 1
KvarnerHOME · -
91 : 702023.10.08 · 종료
SamoborAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME82.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY17.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK HOME 83.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +82.7%
VALUE EDGE+82.7%
FAIR ODDS1.21
GRADEA
KvarnerAnalysis MetricsSamobor
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+7.42 Point MarginHigher is better -4.33
165.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 164.67
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
82.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
17.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Kvarner
L · 86-63W · 60-51L · 74-66W · 88-57W · 87-82
Samobor
L · 84-75W · 94-73W · 91-79L · 111-99L · 89-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.22Samobor82 : 86Kvarner
2023.10.08Kvarner91 : 70Samobor
2022.12.18Kvarner76 : 68Samobor
2022.10.02Samobor61 : 65Kvarner