경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Primera Division
Nicaragua · Apertura - 10

UNAN ManaguaHOME · 5.30
1 : 02026.10.08 · 종료
Real EstelíAWAY · 1.54

HOME · 현재 순위
4위
승점 17
· 9경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
3위
승점 18
· 9경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME22.6%
DRAW30.5%
AWAY46.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM57 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME17.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승25.0%표본 16경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승50.0%현재 이동 -7.8%
OPEN → NOW5.75 → 5.30배당 업데이트 2026-10-08 23:52:12
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
UNAN ManaguaW · 1-3L · 1-0L · 0-2W · 0-1W · 2-1
Real EstelíD · 1-1D · 1-1W · 2-0W · 0-5L · 3-0
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME76 SNAPSHOTS
-5.84%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW76 SNAPSHOTS
-3.70%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY76 SNAPSHOTS
+2.24%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-10-07 12:15:06 | 5.59 | 3.84 | 1.52 |
| 2026-10-08 10:12:10 | 5.30 | 3.71 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 12:02:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 12:12:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 12:22:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 12:32:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 12:42:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 12:52:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 13:02:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 13:12:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 13:22:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 13:32:13 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 13:42:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 13:52:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 14:02:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 14:12:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 14:22:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 14:32:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 14:42:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 14:52:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 15:02:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 15:12:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 15:22:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 15:32:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 15:42:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 15:52:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 16:02:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 16:12:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 16:22:13 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 16:32:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 16:42:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 16:52:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 17:02:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 17:12:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 17:22:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 17:32:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 17:42:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 17:52:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 18:02:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 18:12:10 | 5.00 | 3.50 | 1.57 |
| 2026-10-08 18:12:11 | 5.29 | 3.73 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 18:22:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 18:32:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 18:42:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 18:52:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 19:02:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 19:12:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 19:22:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 19:32:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 19:42:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 19:52:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 20:02:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 20:12:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 20:22:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 20:32:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 20:42:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 20:52:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 21:02:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 21:12:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 21:22:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 21:32:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 21:42:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 21:52:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 22:02:10 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 22:12:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 22:22:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 22:32:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 22:42:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 22:52:12 | 5.18 | 3.60 | 1.54 |
| 2026-10-08 22:52:13 | 5.36 | 3.83 | 1.56 |
| 2026-10-08 23:02:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 23:12:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 23:22:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 23:32:11 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 23:42:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
| 2026-10-08 23:52:12 | 5.26 | 3.70 | 1.55 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.10.08 | UNAN Managua | 1 : 0 | Real Estelí |
| 2026.07.18 | Real Estelí | 1 : 1 | UNAN Managua |