LIVE 28 오늘 293경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

CONCACAF Nations League World · League C - 2
ArubaHOME · 1.06
3 : 22026.10.05 · 종료
AnguillaAWAY · 21.00
HOME · 현재 순위 -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME93.7%
DRAW4.6%
AWAY1.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 88/100
AI PICK HOME 69.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +7.4%
VALUE EDGE+7.4%
FAIR ODDS1.07
GRADEA
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +44.1%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +34.1%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +21.7%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p
REST HOME +10.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE
Aruba분석 지표Anguilla
36.4% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%
1.55 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.50
1.73 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 3.17
60.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 22.2%
5.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지17.5 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.0 / 10
모델 일치도9.7 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME86.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승100.0%표본 9경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW1.06 → 1.06배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:42:20

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
93.7%
DRAW
4.6%
AWAY
1.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Aruba
W · 1-0L · 4-0W · 4-1W · 4-1W · 0-3
Anguilla
L · 5-0L · 1-0L · 4-0W · 1-3L · 4-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+26.0%+13.0%0.0%-13.0%-26.0%10/04 09:1310/04 11:0210/04 12:2310/04 14:2210/04 15:42HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:13:13HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:33:33HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:02:22HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 -0.64% · 2026-10-04 10:23:19HOME · 배당 1.07 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-10-04 10:23:20HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:42:19HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:02:38HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:23:26HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:42:19HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:02:29HOME · 배당 1.10 · 변동 +3.36% · 2026-10-04 12:23:17HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 -0.56% · 2026-10-04 12:23:18HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:43:09HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:02:48HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:22:51HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:42:35HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:02:20HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:22:55HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:42:20HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:02:46HOME · 배당 1.08 · 변동 +1.01% · 2026-10-04 15:22:39HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 -0.40% · 2026-10-04 15:22:40HOME · 배당 1.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:42:20DRAW · 배당 10.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:13:13DRAW · 배당 10.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:33:33DRAW · 배당 10.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:02:22DRAW · 배당 12.44 · 변동 +13.81% · 2026-10-04 10:23:19DRAW · 배당 8.92 · 변동 -18.41% · 2026-10-04 10:23:20DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 10:42:19DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 11:02:38DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 11:23:26DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 11:42:19DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 12:02:29DRAW · 배당 8.50 · 변동 -22.22% · 2026-10-04 12:23:17DRAW · 배당 11.29 · 변동 +3.32% · 2026-10-04 12:23:18DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 12:43:09DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 13:02:48DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 13:22:51DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 13:42:35DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 14:02:20DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 14:22:55DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 14:42:20DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 15:02:46DRAW · 배당 12.75 · 변동 +16.67% · 2026-10-04 15:22:39DRAW · 배당 10.15 · 변동 -7.12% · 2026-10-04 15:22:40DRAW · 배당 10.89 · 변동 -0.33% · 2026-10-04 15:42:20AWAY · 배당 22.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:13:13AWAY · 배당 22.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:33:33AWAY · 배당 22.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:02:22AWAY · 배당 23.25 · 변동 +5.68% · 2026-10-04 10:23:19AWAY · 배당 20.33 · 변동 -7.58% · 2026-10-04 10:23:20AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 10:42:19AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 11:02:38AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 11:23:26AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 11:42:19AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 12:02:29AWAY · 배당 26.00 · 변동 +18.18% · 2026-10-04 12:23:17AWAY · 배당 21.67 · 변동 -1.52% · 2026-10-04 12:23:18AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 12:43:09AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 13:02:48AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 13:22:51AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 13:42:35AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 14:02:20AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 14:22:55AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 14:42:20AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 15:02:46AWAY · 배당 23.50 · 변동 +6.82% · 2026-10-04 15:22:39AWAY · 배당 21.80 · 변동 -0.91% · 2026-10-04 15:22:40AWAY · 배당 22.29 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 15:42:20
HOME23 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.06
→
CURRENT1.06
+0.00%UNCHANGED
DRAW23 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN10.93
→
CURRENT10.89
-0.33%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY23 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN22.00
→
CURRENT22.29
+1.30%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-04 09:13:131.0610.9322.00
2026-10-04 09:33:331.0610.9322.00
2026-10-04 10:02:221.0610.9322.00
2026-10-04 10:23:191.0612.4423.25
2026-10-04 10:23:201.078.9220.33
2026-10-04 10:42:191.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 11:02:381.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 11:23:261.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 11:42:191.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 12:02:291.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 12:23:171.108.5026.00
2026-10-04 12:23:181.0611.2921.67
2026-10-04 12:43:091.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 13:02:481.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 13:22:511.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 13:42:351.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 14:02:201.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 14:22:551.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 14:42:201.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 15:02:461.0610.8922.29
2026-10-04 15:22:391.0812.7523.50
2026-10-04 15:22:401.0610.1521.80
2026-10-04 15:42:201.0610.8922.29

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.05Aruba3 : 2Anguilla