LIVE 27 오늘 293경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Primera División Uruguay · Clausura - 9
Racing MontevideoHOME · 3.70
0 : 12026.10.05 · 종료
PenarolAWAY · 2.00
HOME · 현재 순위 9위 승점 12 · 8경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 4위 승점 16 · 8경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME26.4%
DRAW28.5%
AWAY45.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK AWAY 39.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +1.9%
VALUE EDGE+1.9%
FAIR ODDS3.79
GRADEC
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 73/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +9.0%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +5.6%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
STANDING_PPG AWAY -6.1%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -7.9%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
Racing Montevideo분석 지표Penarol
41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%
1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 2.08
1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.75
80.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%
8.4일 휴식일비교용 지표 4.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도12.4 / 15
예측 분리도7.1 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME24.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승16.2%표본 37경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW3.70 → 3.70배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:42:23

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
26.4%
DRAW
28.5%
AWAY
45.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Racing Montevideo
L · 2-1D · 0-0L · 3-0W · 3-2L · 2-4
Penarol
W · 2-1D · 1-1W · 1-2W · 3-1W · 0-4

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+6.0%+3.0%0.0%-3.0%-6.0%10/03 12:1510/04 11:0210/04 12:2310/04 13:4210/04 15:42HOME · 배당 3.70 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:08HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.10% · 2026-10-04 09:13:20HOME · 배당 3.55 · 변동 -3.96% · 2026-10-04 09:33:39HOME · 배당 3.69 · 변동 -0.29% · 2026-10-04 09:33:40HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.10% · 2026-10-04 10:02:23HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.10% · 2026-10-04 10:23:28HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.22% · 2026-10-04 10:42:21HOME · 배당 3.64 · 변동 -1.63% · 2026-10-04 11:02:41HOME · 배당 3.67 · 변동 -0.71% · 2026-10-04 11:02:42HOME · 배당 3.73 · 변동 +0.78% · 2026-10-04 11:23:38HOME · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -5.22% · 2026-10-04 11:23:39HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.22% · 2026-10-04 11:42:21HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.22% · 2026-10-04 12:02:32HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.22% · 2026-10-04 12:23:26HOME · 배당 3.65 · 변동 -1.22% · 2026-10-04 12:43:15HOME · 배당 3.60 · 변동 -2.60% · 2026-10-04 13:02:52HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -1.05% · 2026-10-04 13:02:53HOME · 배당 3.73 · 변동 +0.78% · 2026-10-04 13:22:57HOME · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -5.22% · 2026-10-04 13:22:58HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -0.98% · 2026-10-04 13:42:38HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -0.89% · 2026-10-04 13:42:39HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -0.92% · 2026-10-04 14:02:22HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -0.92% · 2026-10-04 14:22:59HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -0.92% · 2026-10-04 14:42:22HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -0.92% · 2026-10-04 15:02:50HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -0.92% · 2026-10-04 15:22:44HOME · 배당 3.66 · 변동 -0.92% · 2026-10-04 15:42:23DRAW · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:08DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.78% · 2026-10-04 09:13:20DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -1.80% · 2026-10-04 09:33:39DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.49% · 2026-10-04 09:33:40DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.78% · 2026-10-04 10:02:23DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.78% · 2026-10-04 10:23:28DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.71% · 2026-10-04 10:42:21DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -1.87% · 2026-10-04 11:02:41DRAW · 배당 3.08 · 변동 +0.74% · 2026-10-04 11:02:42DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -2.24% · 2026-10-04 11:23:38DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +2.35% · 2026-10-04 11:23:39DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.71% · 2026-10-04 11:42:21DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.71% · 2026-10-04 12:02:32DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.71% · 2026-10-04 12:23:26DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.71% · 2026-10-04 12:43:15DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -1.80% · 2026-10-04 13:02:52DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.57% · 2026-10-04 13:02:53DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -2.24% · 2026-10-04 13:22:57DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +2.35% · 2026-10-04 13:22:58DRAW · 배당 2.93 · 변동 -4.09% · 2026-10-04 13:42:38DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 +0.44% · 2026-10-04 13:42:39DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-10-04 14:02:22DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-10-04 14:22:59DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-10-04 14:42:22DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-10-04 15:02:50DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-10-04 15:22:44DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-10-04 15:42:23AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:08AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-10-04 09:13:20AWAY · 배당 2.03 · 변동 -0.43% · 2026-10-04 09:33:39AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -0.96% · 2026-10-04 09:33:40AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-10-04 10:02:23AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-10-04 10:23:28AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 10:42:21AWAY · 배당 1.99 · 변동 -1.95% · 2026-10-04 11:02:41AWAY · 배당 2.04 · 변동 +0.06% · 2026-10-04 11:02:42AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-10-04 11:23:38AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -1.17% · 2026-10-04 11:23:39AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 11:42:21AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 12:02:32AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 12:23:26AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -1.06% · 2026-10-04 12:43:15AWAY · 배당 2.05 · 변동 +0.80% · 2026-10-04 13:02:52AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-10-04 13:02:53AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -1.00% · 2026-10-04 13:22:57AWAY · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -1.17% · 2026-10-04 13:22:58AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 -0.51% · 2026-10-04 13:42:38AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 -0.92% · 2026-10-04 13:42:39AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 -0.79% · 2026-10-04 14:02:22AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 -0.79% · 2026-10-04 14:22:59AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 -0.79% · 2026-10-04 14:42:22AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 -0.79% · 2026-10-04 15:02:50AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 -0.79% · 2026-10-04 15:22:44AWAY · 배당 2.02 · 변동 -0.79% · 2026-10-04 15:42:23
HOME27 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.70
→
CURRENT3.66
-0.92%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW27 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.06
→
CURRENT3.02
-1.07%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY27 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.03
→
CURRENT2.02
-0.79%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 12:15:083.703.062.03
2026-10-04 09:13:203.663.032.02
2026-10-04 09:33:393.553.002.03
2026-10-04 09:33:403.693.042.01
2026-10-04 10:02:233.663.032.02
2026-10-04 10:23:283.663.032.02
2026-10-04 10:42:213.653.032.01
2026-10-04 11:02:413.643.001.99
2026-10-04 11:02:423.673.082.04
2026-10-04 11:23:383.732.992.01
2026-10-04 11:23:393.503.132.01
2026-10-04 11:42:213.653.032.01
2026-10-04 12:02:323.653.032.01
2026-10-04 12:23:263.653.032.01
2026-10-04 12:43:153.653.032.01
2026-10-04 13:02:523.603.002.05
2026-10-04 13:02:533.663.042.01
2026-10-04 13:22:573.732.992.01
2026-10-04 13:22:583.503.132.01
2026-10-04 13:42:383.662.932.02
2026-10-04 13:42:393.663.072.02
2026-10-04 14:02:223.663.022.02
2026-10-04 14:22:593.663.022.02
2026-10-04 14:42:223.663.022.02
2026-10-04 15:02:503.663.022.02
2026-10-04 15:22:443.663.022.02
2026-10-04 15:42:233.663.022.02

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.05Racing Montevideo0 : 1Penarol
2026.07.13Racing Montevideo1 : 1Penarol
2026.03.30Penarol1 : 2Racing Montevideo
2026.01.20Penarol1 : 0Racing Montevideo