LIVE 28 오늘 293경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Torneo Federal A Argentina · Quarter-finals
Gimnasia ChivilcoyHOME · 2.11
1 : 22026.10.05 · 종료
Olimpo Bahia BlancaAWAY · 3.70
HOME · 현재 순위 6위 승점 27 · 18경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 1위 승점 31 · 16경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME36.4%
DRAW52.0%
AWAY11.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH80 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 94/100
AI PICK DRAW 40.3% CAL
VALUE PICK DRAW +19.1%
VALUE EDGE+19.1%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 93/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +23.8%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +22.2%p
STANDING_PPG AWAY -12.6%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +1.2%p
REST EVEN +0.0%p
MARKET HOME +18.4%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE
Gimnasia Chivilcoy분석 지표Olimpo Bahia Blanca
33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%
0.75 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00
0.67 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.42
40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%
7.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.1일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

80/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지18.7 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.0 / 10
모델 일치도7.3 / 15
예측 분리도6.7 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.3 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME42.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승35.9%표본 39경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승37.4%현재 이동 -19.8%
OPEN → NOW2.63 → 2.11배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:42:22

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
36.4%
DRAW
52.0%
AWAY
11.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Gimnasia Chivilcoy
L · 2-1D · 0-0W · 0-1W · 1-0W · 0-1
Olimpo Bahia Blanca
W · 2-1D · 1-1D · 1-1L · 1-0W · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+54.0%+27.0%0.0%-27.0%-54.0%10/03 12:1510/04 10:4210/04 12:2310/04 14:2210/04 15:42HOME · 배당 2.67 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:08HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -22.76% · 2026-10-04 09:13:17HOME · 배당 2.01 · 변동 -24.81% · 2026-10-04 09:33:37HOME · 배당 2.12 · 변동 -20.70% · 2026-10-04 09:33:38HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -22.76% · 2026-10-04 10:02:23HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -22.76% · 2026-10-04 10:23:25HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -22.57% · 2026-10-04 10:42:20HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -22.57% · 2026-10-04 11:02:40HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -21.45% · 2026-10-04 11:23:32HOME · 배당 2.06 · 변동 -22.79% · 2026-10-04 11:23:33HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -22.57% · 2026-10-04 11:42:20HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -22.57% · 2026-10-04 12:02:30HOME · 배당 2.05 · 변동 -23.22% · 2026-10-04 12:23:22HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -21.26% · 2026-10-04 12:23:23HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -22.57% · 2026-10-04 12:43:12HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -22.57% · 2026-10-04 13:02:50HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 -22.57% · 2026-10-04 13:22:55HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -21.07% · 2026-10-04 13:42:37HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -21.07% · 2026-10-04 14:02:21HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -21.07% · 2026-10-04 14:22:57HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -21.07% · 2026-10-04 14:42:21HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -21.07% · 2026-10-04 15:02:48HOME · 배당 2.09 · 변동 -21.73% · 2026-10-04 15:22:42HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -19.76% · 2026-10-04 15:22:43HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 -21.45% · 2026-10-04 15:42:21HOME · 배당 2.11 · 변동 -21.00% · 2026-10-04 15:42:22DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:08DRAW · 배당 2.82 · 변동 -6.73% · 2026-10-04 09:13:17DRAW · 배당 2.77 · 변동 -8.49% · 2026-10-04 09:33:37DRAW · 배당 2.87 · 변동 -4.96% · 2026-10-04 09:33:38DRAW · 배당 2.82 · 변동 -6.73% · 2026-10-04 10:02:23DRAW · 배당 2.82 · 변동 -6.73% · 2026-10-04 10:23:25DRAW · 배당 2.85 · 변동 -5.90% · 2026-10-04 10:42:20DRAW · 배당 2.85 · 변동 -5.90% · 2026-10-04 11:02:40DRAW · 배당 2.70 · 변동 -10.69% · 2026-10-04 11:23:32DRAW · 배당 2.87 · 변동 -4.94% · 2026-10-04 11:23:33DRAW · 배당 2.85 · 변동 -5.90% · 2026-10-04 11:42:20DRAW · 배당 2.85 · 변동 -5.90% · 2026-10-04 12:02:30DRAW · 배당 2.77 · 변동 -8.38% · 2026-10-04 12:23:22DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -0.94% · 2026-10-04 12:23:23DRAW · 배당 2.85 · 변동 -5.90% · 2026-10-04 12:43:12DRAW · 배당 2.85 · 변동 -5.90% · 2026-10-04 13:02:50DRAW · 배당 2.85 · 변동 -5.90% · 2026-10-04 13:22:55DRAW · 배당 2.81 · 변동 -7.00% · 2026-10-04 13:42:37DRAW · 배당 2.81 · 변동 -7.00% · 2026-10-04 14:02:21DRAW · 배당 2.81 · 변동 -7.00% · 2026-10-04 14:22:57DRAW · 배당 2.81 · 변동 -7.00% · 2026-10-04 14:42:21DRAW · 배당 2.81 · 변동 -7.00% · 2026-10-04 15:02:48DRAW · 배당 2.75 · 변동 -9.04% · 2026-10-04 15:22:42DRAW · 배당 2.94 · 변동 -2.92% · 2026-10-04 15:22:43DRAW · 배당 2.70 · 변동 -10.69% · 2026-10-04 15:42:21DRAW · 배당 2.83 · 변동 -6.26% · 2026-10-04 15:42:22AWAY · 배당 2.61 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:08AWAY · 배당 3.83 · 변동 +46.62% · 2026-10-04 09:13:17AWAY · 배당 3.87 · 변동 +48.15% · 2026-10-04 09:33:37AWAY · 배당 3.79 · 변동 +45.08% · 2026-10-04 09:33:38AWAY · 배당 3.83 · 변동 +46.62% · 2026-10-04 10:02:23AWAY · 배당 3.83 · 변동 +46.62% · 2026-10-04 10:23:25AWAY · 배당 3.76 · 변동 +44.13% · 2026-10-04 10:42:20AWAY · 배당 3.76 · 변동 +44.13% · 2026-10-04 11:02:40AWAY · 배당 3.70 · 변동 +41.76% · 2026-10-04 11:23:32AWAY · 배당 3.77 · 변동 +44.60% · 2026-10-04 11:23:33AWAY · 배당 3.76 · 변동 +44.13% · 2026-10-04 11:42:20AWAY · 배당 3.76 · 변동 +44.13% · 2026-10-04 12:02:30AWAY · 배당 3.79 · 변동 +45.21% · 2026-10-04 12:23:22AWAY · 배당 3.71 · 변동 +41.95% · 2026-10-04 12:23:23AWAY · 배당 3.76 · 변동 +44.13% · 2026-10-04 12:43:12AWAY · 배당 3.76 · 변동 +44.13% · 2026-10-04 13:02:50AWAY · 배당 3.76 · 변동 +44.13% · 2026-10-04 13:22:55AWAY · 배당 3.69 · 변동 +41.38% · 2026-10-04 13:42:37AWAY · 배당 3.69 · 변동 +41.38% · 2026-10-04 14:02:21AWAY · 배당 3.69 · 변동 +41.38% · 2026-10-04 14:22:57AWAY · 배당 3.69 · 변동 +41.38% · 2026-10-04 14:42:21AWAY · 배당 3.69 · 변동 +41.38% · 2026-10-04 15:02:48AWAY · 배당 3.70 · 변동 +41.67% · 2026-10-04 15:22:42AWAY · 배당 3.68 · 변동 +40.80% · 2026-10-04 15:22:43AWAY · 배당 3.70 · 변동 +41.76% · 2026-10-04 15:42:21AWAY · 배당 3.69 · 변동 +41.30% · 2026-10-04 15:42:22
HOME26 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.67
→
CURRENT2.11
-21.00%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW26 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.02
→
CURRENT2.83
-6.26%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY26 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.61
→
CURRENT3.69
+41.30%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 12:15:082.673.022.61
2026-10-04 09:13:172.072.823.83
2026-10-04 09:33:372.012.773.87
2026-10-04 09:33:382.122.873.79
2026-10-04 10:02:232.072.823.83
2026-10-04 10:23:252.072.823.83
2026-10-04 10:42:202.072.853.76
2026-10-04 11:02:402.072.853.76
2026-10-04 11:23:322.102.703.70
2026-10-04 11:23:332.062.873.77
2026-10-04 11:42:202.072.853.76
2026-10-04 12:02:302.072.853.76
2026-10-04 12:23:222.052.773.79
2026-10-04 12:23:232.113.003.71
2026-10-04 12:43:122.072.853.76
2026-10-04 13:02:502.072.853.76
2026-10-04 13:22:552.072.853.76
2026-10-04 13:42:372.112.813.69
2026-10-04 14:02:212.112.813.69
2026-10-04 14:22:572.112.813.69
2026-10-04 14:42:212.112.813.69
2026-10-04 15:02:482.112.813.69
2026-10-04 15:22:422.092.753.70
2026-10-04 15:22:432.152.943.68
2026-10-04 15:42:212.102.703.70
2026-10-04 15:42:222.112.833.69

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.05Gimnasia Chivilcoy1 : 2Olimpo Bahia Blanca
2026.09.28Olimpo Bahia Blanca2 : 1Gimnasia Chivilcoy