LIVE 28 오늘 293경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Segunda División Uruguay · 2nd Phase - 21
Plaza ColoniaHOME · 2.08
1 : 32026.10.05 · 종료
CerritoAWAY · 3.28
HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 32 · 21경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 7위 승점 29 · 21경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.4%
DRAW25.6%
AWAY18.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH86 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK HOME 45.0% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +12.8%
VALUE EDGE+12.8%
FAIR ODDS1.77
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 99/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +20.0%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +22.2%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
STANDING_PPG HOME +9.8%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +3.5%p
REST AWAY -15.0%p
• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE
Plaza Colonia분석 지표Cerrito
41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%
1.17 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25
0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.17
40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%
4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

86/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.1 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.0 / 10
모델 일치도12.8 / 15
예측 분리도13.2 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME43.5%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승44.6%표본 202경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW2.08 → 2.08배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:42:23

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
56.4%
DRAW
25.6%
AWAY
18.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Plaza Colonia
W · 0-1D · 0-0D · 1-1L · 2-1W · 1-2
Cerrito
L · 1-2W · 1-3D · 1-1D · 0-0W · 0-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+8.0%+4.0%0.0%-4.0%-8.0%10/04 09:1310/04 10:4210/04 12:2310/04 13:4210/04 15:42HOME · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:13:23HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +6.74% · 2026-10-04 09:13:24HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +3.37% · 2026-10-04 09:33:42HOME · 배당 2.07 · 변동 +3.37% · 2026-10-04 10:02:24HOME · 배당 2.00 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:23:31HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 +6.74% · 2026-10-04 10:23:32HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 10:42:22HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 11:02:42HOME · 배당 2.05 · 변동 +2.37% · 2026-10-04 11:23:40HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.94% · 2026-10-04 11:23:41HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 11:42:21HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 12:02:32HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 12:23:28HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 12:43:16HOME · 배당 2.05 · 변동 +2.54% · 2026-10-04 13:02:53HOME · 배당 2.12 · 변동 +5.87% · 2026-10-04 13:02:54HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 13:22:59HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 13:42:39HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 14:02:22HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 14:23:00HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 14:42:23HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 15:02:50HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 15:22:45HOME · 배당 2.10 · 변동 +4.62% · 2026-10-04 15:42:23DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:13:23DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +1.82% · 2026-10-04 09:13:24DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.91% · 2026-10-04 09:33:42DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +0.91% · 2026-10-04 10:02:24DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:23:31DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +1.82% · 2026-10-04 10:23:32DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 10:42:22DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 11:02:42DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +1.03% · 2026-10-04 11:23:40DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.67% · 2026-10-04 11:23:41DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 11:42:21DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 12:02:32DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 12:23:28DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 12:43:16DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.18% · 2026-10-04 13:02:53DRAW · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +1.03% · 2026-10-04 13:02:54DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 13:22:59DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 13:42:39DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 14:02:22DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 14:23:00DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 14:42:23DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 15:02:50DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 15:22:45DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.71% · 2026-10-04 15:42:23AWAY · 배당 3.33 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:13:23AWAY · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -0.53% · 2026-10-04 09:13:24AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.26% · 2026-10-04 09:33:42AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 -0.26% · 2026-10-04 10:02:24AWAY · 배당 3.33 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:23:31AWAY · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -0.53% · 2026-10-04 10:23:32AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 10:42:22AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 11:02:42AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -6.77% · 2026-10-04 11:23:40AWAY · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.48% · 2026-10-04 11:23:41AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 11:42:21AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 12:02:32AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 12:23:28AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 12:43:16AWAY · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -4.76% · 2026-10-04 13:02:53AWAY · 배당 3.31 · 변동 -0.57% · 2026-10-04 13:02:54AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 13:22:59AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 13:42:39AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 14:02:22AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 14:23:00AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 14:42:23AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 15:02:50AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 15:22:45AWAY · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.14% · 2026-10-04 15:42:23
HOME24 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.00
→
CURRENT2.10
+4.62%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW24 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.17
→
CURRENT3.19
+0.71%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY24 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.33
→
CURRENT3.25
-2.14%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-04 09:13:232.003.173.33
2026-10-04 09:13:242.143.233.31
2026-10-04 09:33:422.073.203.32
2026-10-04 10:02:242.073.203.32
2026-10-04 10:23:312.003.173.33
2026-10-04 10:23:322.143.233.31
2026-10-04 10:42:222.103.193.25
2026-10-04 11:02:422.103.193.25
2026-10-04 11:23:402.053.203.10
2026-10-04 11:23:412.103.193.28
2026-10-04 11:42:212.103.193.25
2026-10-04 12:02:322.103.193.25
2026-10-04 12:23:282.103.193.25
2026-10-04 12:43:162.103.193.25
2026-10-04 13:02:532.053.173.17
2026-10-04 13:02:542.123.203.31
2026-10-04 13:22:592.103.193.25
2026-10-04 13:42:392.103.193.25
2026-10-04 14:02:222.103.193.25
2026-10-04 14:23:002.103.193.25
2026-10-04 14:42:232.103.193.25
2026-10-04 15:02:502.103.193.25
2026-10-04 15:22:452.103.193.25
2026-10-04 15:42:232.103.193.25

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.05Plaza Colonia1 : 3Cerrito
2026.06.29Cerrito1 : 0Plaza Colonia