LIVE 28 오늘 293경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Primera División Uruguay · Clausura - 9
CerroHOME · 2.80
0 : 22026.10.05 · 종료
WanderersAWAY · 2.40
HOME · 현재 순위 8위 승점 14 · 9경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 5위 승점 15 · 9경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.0%
DRAW28.4%
AWAY32.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK HOME 32.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +6.6%
VALUE EDGE+6.6%
FAIR ODDS2.57
GRADEA
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 69/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +8.8%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +13.9%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
STANDING_PPG AWAY -15.7%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.9%p
H2H AWAY -50.0%p
• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE
Cerro분석 지표Wanderers
33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%
1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.17
1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.08
40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 14.3%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.8일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도11.3 / 15
예측 분리도2.7 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME32.4%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승27.6%표본 105경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.2%현재 이동 -0.7%
OPEN → NOW2.82 → 2.80배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:42:23

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
39.0%
DRAW
28.4%
AWAY
32.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Cerro
D · 0-0L · 1-2L · 1-2W · 1-3L · 0-2
Wanderers
L · 1-3D · 1-1D · 1-1L · 4-1L · 2-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+4.0%+2.0%0.0%-2.0%-4.0%10/03 12:1510/04 10:4210/04 12:2310/04 14:0210/04 15:42HOME · 배당 2.82 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:08HOME · 배당 2.78 · 변동 -1.48% · 2026-10-04 09:13:19HOME · 배당 2.82 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 09:13:20HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-10-04 09:33:39HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-10-04 10:02:23HOME · 배당 2.79 · 변동 -1.30% · 2026-10-04 10:23:27HOME · 배당 2.85 · 변동 +0.75% · 2026-10-04 10:23:28HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 10:42:21HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 11:02:41HOME · 배당 2.79 · 변동 -1.09% · 2026-10-04 11:23:37HOME · 배당 2.83 · 변동 +0.22% · 2026-10-04 11:23:38HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 11:42:21HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 12:02:32HOME · 배당 2.79 · 변동 -1.09% · 2026-10-04 12:23:25HOME · 배당 2.83 · 변동 +0.22% · 2026-10-04 12:23:26HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-10-04 12:43:14HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 12:43:15HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 13:02:52HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 13:22:57HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 13:42:38HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 14:02:22HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 14:22:59HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 14:42:22HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.84% · 2026-10-04 15:02:49HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 15:02:50HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 15:22:44HOME · 배당 2.80 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 15:42:23DRAW · 배당 3.14 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:08DRAW · 배당 3.06 · 변동 -2.26% · 2026-10-04 09:13:19DRAW · 배당 3.11 · 변동 -0.80% · 2026-10-04 09:13:20DRAW · 배당 3.08 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-10-04 09:33:39DRAW · 배당 3.08 · 변동 -1.61% · 2026-10-04 10:02:23DRAW · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -2.89% · 2026-10-04 10:23:27DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +2.87% · 2026-10-04 10:23:28DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-04 10:42:21DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-04 11:02:41DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -3.35% · 2026-10-04 11:23:37DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +2.87% · 2026-10-04 11:23:38DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-04 11:42:21DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-04 12:02:32DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -3.35% · 2026-10-04 12:23:25DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +2.87% · 2026-10-04 12:23:26DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-10-04 12:43:14DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-10-04 12:43:15DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-04 13:02:52DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-04 13:22:57DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-04 13:42:38DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-04 14:02:22DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-04 14:22:59DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-04 14:42:22DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -1.12% · 2026-10-04 15:02:49DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -2.07% · 2026-10-04 15:02:50DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-04 15:22:44DRAW · 배당 3.07 · 변동 -1.97% · 2026-10-04 15:42:23AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 12:15:08AWAY · 배당 2.38 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-10-04 09:13:19AWAY · 배당 2.41 · 변동 +0.26% · 2026-10-04 09:13:20AWAY · 배당 2.39 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-04 09:33:39AWAY · 배당 2.39 · 변동 -0.36% · 2026-10-04 10:02:23AWAY · 배당 2.38 · 변동 -0.66% · 2026-10-04 10:23:27AWAY · 배당 2.42 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-10-04 10:23:28AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 10:42:21AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 11:02:41AWAY · 배당 2.39 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 11:23:37AWAY · 배당 2.43 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 11:23:38AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 11:42:21AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 12:02:32AWAY · 배당 2.39 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 12:23:25AWAY · 배당 2.43 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-10-04 12:23:26AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.05% · 2026-10-04 12:43:14AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-10-04 12:43:15AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 13:02:52AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 13:22:57AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 13:42:38AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 14:02:22AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 14:22:59AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 14:42:22AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.05% · 2026-10-04 15:02:49AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.05% · 2026-10-04 15:02:50AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 15:22:44AWAY · 배당 2.40 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-04 15:42:23
HOME27 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.82
→
CURRENT2.80
-0.80%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW27 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.14
→
CURRENT3.07
-1.97%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY27 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.40
→
CURRENT2.40
-0.04%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 12:15:082.823.142.40
2026-10-04 09:13:192.783.062.38
2026-10-04 09:13:202.823.112.41
2026-10-04 09:33:392.803.082.39
2026-10-04 10:02:232.803.082.39
2026-10-04 10:23:272.793.042.38
2026-10-04 10:23:282.853.232.42
2026-10-04 10:42:212.803.072.40
2026-10-04 11:02:412.803.072.40
2026-10-04 11:23:372.793.032.39
2026-10-04 11:23:382.833.232.43
2026-10-04 11:42:212.803.072.40
2026-10-04 12:02:322.803.072.40
2026-10-04 12:23:252.793.032.39
2026-10-04 12:23:262.833.232.43
2026-10-04 12:43:142.803.102.40
2026-10-04 12:43:152.803.072.40
2026-10-04 13:02:522.803.072.40
2026-10-04 13:22:572.803.072.40
2026-10-04 13:42:382.803.072.40
2026-10-04 14:02:222.803.072.40
2026-10-04 14:22:592.803.072.40
2026-10-04 14:42:222.803.072.40
2026-10-04 15:02:492.803.102.40
2026-10-04 15:02:502.803.072.40
2026-10-04 15:22:442.803.072.40
2026-10-04 15:42:232.803.072.40

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.05Cerro0 : 2Wanderers
2026.09.02Wanderers1 : 1Cerro
2026.03.29Wanderers3 : 0Cerro