LIVE 25 오늘 276경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Friendlies Clubs World · Club Friendlies
JagielloniaHOME · 1.56
1 : 22026.10.03 · 종료
Polonia WarszawaAWAY · 4.65
HOME · 현재 순위 -
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME72.0%
DRAW19.0%
AWAY9.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 84/100
AI PICK HOME 51.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +13.3%
VALUE EDGE+13.3%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +29.6%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +38.9%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +10.1%p
REST AWAY -49.9%p
MARKET HOME +39.1%p
SEASON_STATS HOME +36.0%p
• LEAGUE_LEVEL DATA UNAVAILABLE• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE
Jagiellonia분석 지표Polonia Warszawa
50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%
2.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.50
1.42 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.17
66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%
3.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 13.9일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

84/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지16.7 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.0 / 10
모델 일치도10.6 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보1.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME58.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승52.4%표본 82경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승48.3%현재 이동 -5.8%
OPEN → NOW1.65 → 1.56배당 업데이트 2026-10-03 15:12:28

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
72.0%
DRAW
19.0%
AWAY
9.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Jagiellonia
W · 5-0L · 1-3L · 2-1L · 2-0W · 2-1
Polonia Warszawa
W · 2-0D · 2-2L · 2-1W · 0-1W · 1-3

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+22.0%+11.0%0.0%-11.0%-22.0%10/03 02:3210/03 05:3210/03 11:1210/03 13:1210/03 15:12HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 02:32:21HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:02:24HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:32:24HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:02:21HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:32:23HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 05:02:21HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 05:32:22HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 06:02:23HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 09:12:25HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 09:42:23HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 10:12:23HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 10:42:24HOME · 배당 1.63 · 변동 +0.15% · 2026-10-03 11:12:25HOME · 배당 1.53 · 변동 -5.93% · 2026-10-03 11:12:26HOME · 배당 1.53 · 변동 -5.93% · 2026-10-03 11:42:25HOME · 배당 1.53 · 변동 -5.93% · 2026-10-03 12:12:26HOME · 배당 1.53 · 변동 -5.93% · 2026-10-03 12:42:23HOME · 배당 1.53 · 변동 -5.93% · 2026-10-03 13:12:27HOME · 배당 1.53 · 변동 -5.93% · 2026-10-03 13:42:26HOME · 배당 1.54 · 변동 -5.62% · 2026-10-03 14:12:26HOME · 배당 1.54 · 변동 -5.52% · 2026-10-03 14:42:26HOME · 배당 1.53 · 변동 -6.13% · 2026-10-03 14:42:27HOME · 배당 1.54 · 변동 -5.62% · 2026-10-03 15:12:26HOME · 배당 1.54 · 변동 -5.62% · 2026-10-03 15:12:28DRAW · 배당 4.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 02:32:21DRAW · 배당 4.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:02:24DRAW · 배당 4.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:32:24DRAW · 배당 4.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:02:21DRAW · 배당 4.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:32:23DRAW · 배당 4.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 05:02:21DRAW · 배당 4.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 05:32:22DRAW · 배당 4.10 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 06:02:23DRAW · 배당 4.08 · 변동 -0.61% · 2026-10-03 09:12:25DRAW · 배당 4.08 · 변동 -0.61% · 2026-10-03 09:42:23DRAW · 배당 4.08 · 변동 -0.61% · 2026-10-03 10:12:23DRAW · 배당 4.08 · 변동 -0.61% · 2026-10-03 10:42:24DRAW · 배당 4.08 · 변동 -0.61% · 2026-10-03 11:12:25DRAW · 배당 4.21 · 변동 +2.60% · 2026-10-03 11:12:26DRAW · 배당 4.21 · 변동 +2.60% · 2026-10-03 11:42:25DRAW · 배당 4.21 · 변동 +2.60% · 2026-10-03 12:12:26DRAW · 배당 4.21 · 변동 +2.60% · 2026-10-03 12:42:23DRAW · 배당 4.21 · 변동 +2.60% · 2026-10-03 13:12:27DRAW · 배당 4.21 · 변동 +2.60% · 2026-10-03 13:42:26DRAW · 배당 4.23 · 변동 +3.17% · 2026-10-03 14:12:26DRAW · 배당 4.25 · 변동 +3.56% · 2026-10-03 14:42:26DRAW · 배당 4.15 · 변동 +1.22% · 2026-10-03 14:42:27DRAW · 배당 4.23 · 변동 +3.17% · 2026-10-03 15:12:26DRAW · 배당 4.23 · 변동 +3.17% · 2026-10-03 15:12:28AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 02:32:21AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:02:24AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:32:24AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:02:21AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:32:23AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 05:02:21AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 05:32:22AWAY · 배당 3.98 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 06:02:23AWAY · 배당 4.15 · 변동 +4.18% · 2026-10-03 09:12:25AWAY · 배당 4.15 · 변동 +4.18% · 2026-10-03 09:42:23AWAY · 배당 4.15 · 변동 +4.18% · 2026-10-03 10:12:23AWAY · 배당 4.15 · 변동 +4.18% · 2026-10-03 10:42:24AWAY · 배당 4.15 · 변동 +4.18% · 2026-10-03 11:12:25AWAY · 배당 4.70 · 변동 +18.08% · 2026-10-03 11:12:26AWAY · 배당 4.70 · 변동 +18.08% · 2026-10-03 11:42:25AWAY · 배당 4.70 · 변동 +18.08% · 2026-10-03 12:12:26AWAY · 배당 4.70 · 변동 +18.08% · 2026-10-03 12:42:23AWAY · 배당 4.70 · 변동 +18.08% · 2026-10-03 13:12:27AWAY · 배당 4.70 · 변동 +18.08% · 2026-10-03 13:42:26AWAY · 배당 4.70 · 변동 +18.03% · 2026-10-03 14:12:26AWAY · 배당 4.71 · 변동 +18.29% · 2026-10-03 14:42:26AWAY · 배당 4.65 · 변동 +16.74% · 2026-10-03 14:42:27AWAY · 배당 4.70 · 변동 +18.03% · 2026-10-03 15:12:26AWAY · 배당 4.70 · 변동 +18.03% · 2026-10-03 15:12:28
HOME24 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.63
→
CURRENT1.54
-5.62%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW24 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN4.10
→
CURRENT4.23
+3.17%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY24 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.98
→
CURRENT4.70
+18.03%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 02:32:211.634.103.98
2026-10-03 03:02:241.634.103.98
2026-10-03 03:32:241.634.103.98
2026-10-03 04:02:211.634.103.98
2026-10-03 04:32:231.634.103.98
2026-10-03 05:02:211.634.103.98
2026-10-03 05:32:221.634.103.98
2026-10-03 06:02:231.634.103.98
2026-10-03 09:12:251.634.084.15
2026-10-03 09:42:231.634.084.15
2026-10-03 10:12:231.634.084.15
2026-10-03 10:42:241.634.084.15
2026-10-03 11:12:251.634.084.15
2026-10-03 11:12:261.534.214.70
2026-10-03 11:42:251.534.214.70
2026-10-03 12:12:261.534.214.70
2026-10-03 12:42:231.534.214.70
2026-10-03 13:12:271.534.214.70
2026-10-03 13:42:261.534.214.70
2026-10-03 14:12:261.544.234.70
2026-10-03 14:42:261.544.254.71
2026-10-03 14:42:271.534.154.65
2026-10-03 15:12:261.544.234.70
2026-10-03 15:12:281.544.234.70

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.03Jagiellonia1 : 2Polonia Warszawa