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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Canada · Super League - Semi-finals
KW TitansHOME · -
118 : 962024.05.06 · 종료
Newfoundland RoguesAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME77.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY22.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 77.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +77.6%
VALUE EDGE+77.6%
FAIR ODDS1.29
GRADES
KW TitansAnalysis MetricsNewfoundland Rogues
66.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+9.33 Point MarginHigher is better -5.58
205.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 214.75
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
77.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
22.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
KW Titans
W · 109-86W · 153-119W · 149-120L · 100-127L · 114-123
Newfoundland Rogues
L · 109-86W · 113-104L · 108-113W · 110-104W · 121-110

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.23KW Titans111 : 118Newfoundland Rogues
2025.02.02Newfoundland Rogues88 : 107KW Titans
2025.02.01Newfoundland Rogues107 : 119KW Titans
2024.05.11Newfoundland Rogues115 : 128KW Titans
2024.05.06KW Titans118 : 96Newfoundland Rogues
2024.05.04KW Titans109 : 86Newfoundland Rogues
2024.03.08KW Titans124 : 116Newfoundland Rogues
2024.02.05KW Titans105 : 96Newfoundland Rogues
2024.01.29Newfoundland Rogues107 : 102KW Titans
2024.01.28Newfoundland Rogues125 : 116KW Titans