Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Super League
Canada

Newfoundland RoguesHOME · -
127 : 1382024.03.25 · 종료
Montreal ToundraAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME73.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+73.0%
VALUE EDGE+73.0%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEB
Newfoundland RoguesAnalysis MetricsMontreal Toundra
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-5.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.83
214.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
201.67
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
0.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
67/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newfoundland Rogues
W · 115-107W · 116-94W · 120-106W · 117-111L · 124-116
Montreal Toundra
L · 115-107L · 109-116L · 99-89W · 98-89W · 101-104
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.02.23 | Montreal Toundra | 107 : 94 | Newfoundland Rogues |
| 2026.02.22 | Montreal Toundra | 118 : 108 | Newfoundland Rogues |
| 2026.02.08 | Newfoundland Rogues | 105 : 124 | Montreal Toundra |
| 2026.02.07 | Newfoundland Rogues | 98 : 108 | Montreal Toundra |
| 2024.04.08 | Montreal Toundra | 113 : 112 | Newfoundland Rogues |
| 2024.03.25 | Newfoundland Rogues | 127 : 138 | Montreal Toundra |
| 2024.03.22 | Newfoundland Rogues | 115 : 107 | Montreal Toundra |
| 2024.02.10 | Montreal Toundra | 95 : 97 | Newfoundland Rogues |