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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Canada
Newfoundland RoguesHOME · -
116 : 942024.03.17 · 종료
Albany PatroonsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME78.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW48 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 64/100
AI PICK HOME 77.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +78.9%
VALUE EDGE+78.9%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADED
Newfoundland RoguesAnalysis MetricsAlbany Patroons
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 0.0%
-5.58 Point MarginHigher is better -10.00
214.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 227.00
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

48/100 LOW
Data coverage12.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form8.8 / 10
Historical sample7.5 / 10
Model agreement12.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence2.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
78.9%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
21.1%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Newfoundland Rogues
W · 120-106W · 117-111L · 124-116W · 120-130L · 121-113
Albany Patroons
L · 120-106L · 117-111

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.03.17Newfoundland Rogues116 : 94Albany Patroons
2024.03.16Newfoundland Rogues120 : 106Albany Patroons
2024.03.14Newfoundland Rogues117 : 111Albany Patroons