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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super League Canada
SudburyHOME · -
117 : 862024.01.21 · 종료
Montreal ToundraAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY31.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 68.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.0%
VALUE EDGE+69.0%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADES
SudburyAnalysis MetricsMontreal Toundra
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
+2.25 Point MarginHigher is better -0.83
199.25 Pace ProxyComparison metric 201.67
71.4% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
31.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Sudbury
W · 131-121L · 112-115W · 111-114W · 114-122W · 124-113
Montreal Toundra
L · 85-96L · 105-94L · 122-116L · 111-114

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.04.10Montreal Toundra90 : 96Sudbury
2026.04.09Montreal Toundra100 : 86Sudbury
2026.04.05Sudbury103 : 101Montreal Toundra
2026.04.04Sudbury105 : 96Montreal Toundra
2026.03.27Sudbury116 : 90Montreal Toundra
2026.03.08Montreal Toundra98 : 109Sudbury
2026.03.07Montreal Toundra105 : 86Sudbury
2026.01.04Sudbury121 : 110Montreal Toundra
2024.02.20Sudbury99 : 89Montreal Toundra
2024.01.21Sudbury117 : 86Montreal Toundra