Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Canada · NBL - Quarter-finals
Saint John RiptideHOME · -
126 : 982016.05.05 · 종료
MonctonAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+65.3%
VALUE EDGE+65.3%
FAIR ODDS1.53
GRADEA
Saint John RiptideAnalysis MetricsMoncton
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-4.33
Point MarginHigher is better
+18.42
186.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
213.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
4.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.2 / 15
Prediction separation13.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saint John Riptide
L · 82-89W · 109-99W · 116-108W · 109-97W · 102-93
Moncton
W · 96-117L · 109-99L · 95-102L · 91-97L · 87-99
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019.04.08 | Moncton | 103 : 77 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2019.04.06 | Moncton | 101 : 79 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2019.03.07 | Saint John Riptide | 100 : 104 | Moncton |
| 2019.03.02 | Saint John Riptide | 96 : 76 | Moncton |
| 2019.02.11 | Moncton | 111 : 76 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2019.02.07 | Saint John Riptide | 90 : 83 | Moncton |
| 2019.01.30 | Moncton | 91 : 88 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2018.12.17 | Moncton | 93 : 86 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2016.05.09 | Moncton | 114 : 116 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2016.05.08 | Moncton | 97 : 108 | Saint John Riptide |