Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Canada
MonctonHOME · -
87 : 992016.04.21 · 종료
Island StormAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.7%
VALUE EDGE+61.7%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADES
MonctonAnalysis MetricsIsland Storm
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
+18.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.33
213.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
217.17
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
3.2일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.4 / 15
Prediction separation10.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Moncton
L · 118-107L · 100-94W · 114-98L · 117-107L · 110-90
Island Storm
L · 102-93W · 120-116W · 117-107L · 128-124L · 104-97
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.03.07 | Moncton | 130 : 90 | Island Storm |
| 2020.02.18 | Island Storm | 93 : 109 | Moncton |
| 2020.02.16 | Moncton | 120 : 80 | Island Storm |
| 2020.02.03 | Island Storm | 100 : 108 | Moncton |
| 2020.01.27 | Moncton | 99 : 81 | Island Storm |
| 2020.01.25 | Island Storm | 113 : 115 | Moncton |
| 2020.01.06 | Island Storm | 113 : 108 | Moncton |
| 2019.12.27 | Island Storm | 112 : 120 | Moncton |
| 2019.02.25 | Moncton | 121 : 120 | Island Storm |
| 2019.01.19 | Moncton | 110 : 103 | Island Storm |