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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Canada
Island StormHOME · -
120 : 1162016.04.16 · 종료
Saint John RiptideAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME57.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +57.5%
VALUE EDGE+57.5%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
Island StormAnalysis MetricsSaint John Riptide
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-9.33 Point MarginHigher is better -4.33
217.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 186.00
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.5 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
57.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
42.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Island Storm
W · 117-107L · 128-124L · 104-97L · 93-104L · 104-84
Saint John Riptide
L · 143-103W · 110-103W · 114-110L · 127-93W · 109-105

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2019.04.01Island Storm128 : 98Saint John Riptide
2019.03.22Saint John Riptide84 : 83Island Storm
2019.02.19Island Storm95 : 100Saint John Riptide
2019.02.15Saint John Riptide99 : 93Island Storm
2019.02.09Saint John Riptide90 : 69Island Storm
2019.02.04Island Storm115 : 111Saint John Riptide
2019.01.18Island Storm85 : 87Saint John Riptide
2018.11.19Island Storm96 : 95Saint John Riptide
2016.04.25Saint John Riptide116 : 108Island Storm
2016.04.17Saint John Riptide102 : 93Island Storm