Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Canada
Niagara RiverHOME · -
116 : 1252016.04.08 · 종료
OrangevilleAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME66.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY33.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.1%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+66.2%
VALUE EDGE+66.2%
FAIR ODDS1.51
GRADES
Niagara RiverAnalysis MetricsOrangeville
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-1.33
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.92
176.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
233.25
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Niagara River
L · 115-94W · 99-92W · 104-97L · 109-102W · 117-109
Orangeville
L · 110-99W · 128-124W · 91-103L · 95-102L · 117-109
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.05.01 | Orangeville | 137 : 128 | Niagara River |
| 2016.04.16 | Orangeville | 108 : 119 | Niagara River |
| 2016.04.08 | Niagara River | 116 : 125 | Orangeville |
| 2016.03.24 | Niagara River | 117 : 109 | Orangeville |
| 2016.03.21 | Niagara River | 121 : 120 | Orangeville |
| 2016.03.13 | Orangeville | 103 : 113 | Niagara River |
| 2016.03.04 | Niagara River | 119 : 109 | Orangeville |
| 2016.02.07 | Orangeville | 90 : 93 | Niagara River |
| 2016.01.23 | Orangeville | 97 : 90 | Niagara River |
| 2016.01.04 | Niagara River | 105 : 108 | Orangeville |