Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Canada
OrangevilleHOME · -
128 : 1242016.04.02 · 종료
Island StormAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME52.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+52.1%
VALUE EDGE+52.1%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADEA
OrangevilleAnalysis MetricsIsland Storm
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
8.3%
-3.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-9.33
232.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
217.17
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
0.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation1.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Orangeville
W · 91-103L · 95-102L · 117-109L · 121-120L · 111-116
Island Storm
L · 104-97L · 93-104L · 104-84L · 103-113L · 107-110
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.04.02 | Orangeville | 128 : 124 | Island Storm |
| 2016.02.16 | Island Storm | 106 : 95 | Orangeville |