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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Canada
OrangevilleHOME · -
128 : 1242016.04.02 · 종료
Island StormAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.1%
VALUE EDGE+52.1%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADEA
OrangevilleAnalysis MetricsIsland Storm
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 8.3%
-3.50 Point MarginHigher is better -9.33
232.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 217.17
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.9 / 15
Prediction separation1.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Orangeville
W · 91-103L · 95-102L · 117-109L · 121-120L · 111-116
Island Storm
L · 104-97L · 93-104L · 104-84L · 103-113L · 107-110

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.02Orangeville128 : 124Island Storm
2016.02.16Island Storm106 : 95Orangeville