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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Canada
Island StormHOME · -
103 : 1132016.03.21 · 종료
MonctonAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME51.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY48.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 52.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +51.1%
VALUE EDGE+51.1%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
Island StormAnalysis MetricsMoncton
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 83.3%
-9.33 Point MarginHigher is better +18.42
217.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 213.42
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 80.0%
2.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement5.7 / 15
Prediction separation0.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
51.1%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
48.9%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Island Storm
L · 107-110W · 92-137L · 106-96W · 108-106W · 120-104
Moncton
L · 111-119L · 97-89W · 106-96W · 95-92W · 102-107

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.03.07Moncton130 : 90Island Storm
2020.02.18Island Storm93 : 109Moncton
2020.02.16Moncton120 : 80Island Storm
2020.02.03Island Storm100 : 108Moncton
2020.01.27Moncton99 : 81Island Storm
2020.01.25Island Storm113 : 115Moncton
2020.01.06Island Storm113 : 108Moncton
2019.12.27Island Storm112 : 120Moncton
2019.02.25Moncton121 : 120Island Storm
2019.01.19Moncton110 : 103Island Storm