Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Canada

OrangevilleHOME · -
111 : 1162016.03.20 · 종료
Saint John RiptideAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME35.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 57.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+64.4%
VALUE EDGE+64.4%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEB
OrangevilleAnalysis MetricsSaint John Riptide
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
237.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
186.00
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Orangeville
L · 102-100L · 103-113W · 113-98W · 106-104W · 103-106
Saint John Riptide
W · 107-110W · 111-119L · 92-137L · 112-101L · 95-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.03.20 | Orangeville | 111 : 116 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2016.02.19 | Saint John Riptide | 147 : 102 | Orangeville |