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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Canada
OrangevilleHOME · -
111 : 1162016.03.20 · 종료
Saint John RiptideAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY64.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 57.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +64.4%
VALUE EDGE+64.4%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEB
OrangevilleAnalysis MetricsSaint John Riptide
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-4.17 Point MarginHigher is better -4.33
237.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 186.00
57.1% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
1.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.8 / 15
Prediction separation12.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
35.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
64.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Orangeville
L · 102-100L · 103-113W · 113-98W · 106-104W · 103-106
Saint John Riptide
W · 107-110W · 111-119L · 92-137L · 112-101L · 95-92

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.20Orangeville111 : 116Saint John Riptide
2016.02.19Saint John Riptide147 : 102Orangeville