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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Canada
MonctonHOME · -
123 : 1052016.02.28 · 종료
Niagara RiverAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME70.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +70.5%
VALUE EDGE+70.5%
FAIR ODDS1.42
GRADEA
MonctonAnalysis MetricsNiagara River
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+18.42 Point MarginHigher is better -1.33
213.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 176.83
85.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
70.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
29.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Moncton
L · 115-116W · 114-85W · 93-98W · 101-92L · 111-123
Niagara River
L · 116-93W · 108-111L · 93-97L · 102-114L · 123-114

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.18Niagara River118 : 107Moncton
2016.02.28Moncton123 : 105Niagara River