Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Canada
MonctonHOME · -
115 : 1162016.02.26 · 종료
Saint John RiptideAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME51.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY49.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+51.0%
VALUE EDGE+51.0%
FAIR ODDS1.96
GRADEA
MonctonAnalysis MetricsSaint John Riptide
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+18.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
213.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
186.00
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.7 / 15
Prediction separation0.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Moncton
W · 114-85W · 93-98W · 101-92L · 111-123L · 101-100
Saint John Riptide
W · 147-102W · 104-107W · 111-123L · 104-92W · 97-99
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2019.04.08 | Moncton | 103 : 77 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2019.04.06 | Moncton | 101 : 79 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2019.03.07 | Saint John Riptide | 100 : 104 | Moncton |
| 2019.03.02 | Saint John Riptide | 96 : 76 | Moncton |
| 2019.02.11 | Moncton | 111 : 76 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2019.02.07 | Saint John Riptide | 90 : 83 | Moncton |
| 2019.01.30 | Moncton | 91 : 88 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2018.12.17 | Moncton | 93 : 86 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2016.05.09 | Moncton | 114 : 116 | Saint John Riptide |
| 2016.05.08 | Moncton | 97 : 108 | Saint John Riptide |