Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Canada
MonctonHOME · -
114 : 852016.02.20 · 종료
OrangevilleAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME71.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY29.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+71.0%
VALUE EDGE+71.0%
FAIR ODDS1.41
GRADEA
MonctonAnalysis MetricsOrangeville
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+18.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.17
213.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
237.17
85.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Moncton
W · 93-98W · 101-92L · 111-123L · 101-100L · 135-130
Orangeville
L · 147-102L · 106-95L · 125-89L · 99-95L · 90-93
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.20 | Moncton | 114 : 85 | Orangeville |
| 2016.01.30 | Orangeville | 111 : 110 | Moncton |