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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Canada
Island StormHOME · -
106 : 952016.02.16 · 종료
OrangevilleAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME58.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY41.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +58.7%
VALUE EDGE+58.7%
FAIR ODDS1.70
GRADEA
Island StormAnalysis MetricsOrangeville
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-9.33 Point MarginHigher is better -4.17
217.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 237.17
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
1.8일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement7.2 / 15
Prediction separation7.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
58.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
41.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Island Storm
L · 105-85L · 104-107L · 101-92L · 90-88W · 101-100
Orangeville
L · 125-89L · 99-95L · 90-93W · 89-88W · 111-110

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.04.02Orangeville128 : 124Island Storm
2016.02.16Island Storm106 : 95Orangeville