Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Canada
OrangevilleHOME · -
111 : 1102016.01.30 · 종료
MonctonAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME46.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY53.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+53.7%
VALUE EDGE+53.7%
FAIR ODDS1.86
GRADEA
OrangevilleAnalysis MetricsMoncton
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
83.3%
-4.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+18.42
237.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
213.42
57.1%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
6.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.3일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation3.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Orangeville
L · 87-86W · 97-90L · 111-95L · 108-123L · 106-111
Moncton
W · 99-83L · 92-96W · 98-101L · 107-117W · 120-119
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2016.02.20 | Moncton | 114 : 85 | Orangeville |
| 2016.01.30 | Orangeville | 111 : 110 | Moncton |