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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Canada
Saint John RiptideHOME · -
120 : 1032016.01.18 · 종료
Niagara RiverAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME74.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY25.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM64 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 72.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +74.3%
VALUE EDGE+74.3%
FAIR ODDS1.35
GRADEB
Saint John RiptideAnalysis MetricsNiagara River
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-4.33 Point MarginHigher is better -1.33
186.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 176.83
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
2.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 0.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

64/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
74.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
25.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Saint John Riptide
W · 98-91W · 100-105L · 108-88W · 124-108L · 123-114
Niagara River
W · 87-105L · 107-93L · 112-90W · 92-91L · 105-108

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.02.04Niagara River97 : 99Saint John Riptide
2016.01.18Saint John Riptide120 : 103Niagara River