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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

CIS Canada · U Sports - Quarter-finals
CarletonHOME · -
91 : 752016.03.18 · 종료
Thompson RiversAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME80.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM67 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 85/100
AI PICK HOME 83.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +80.6%
VALUE EDGE+80.6%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEB
CarletonAnalysis MetricsThompson Rivers
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
+8.42 Point MarginHigher is better +2.25
147.08 Pace ProxyComparison metric 150.92
80.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 42.9%
14.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

67/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.5 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
80.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
19.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Carleton
W · 39-68W · 67-87W · 105-40W · 97-60W · 65-74
Thompson Rivers
W · 88-79W · 77-66L · 67-62L · 82-79W · 70-56

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2016.03.18Carleton91 : 75Thompson Rivers