Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIS
Canada
GuelphHOME · -
84 : 792016.02.20 · 종료
TorontoAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME61.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+61.5%
VALUE EDGE+61.5%
FAIR ODDS1.63
GRADEB
GuelphAnalysis MetricsToronto
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-3.17
Point MarginHigher is better
-0.17
154.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
144.33
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation9.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Guelph
W · 96-92W · 75-90L · 102-91W · 87-94L · 93-81
Toronto
L · 79-94L · 57-62W · 79-60L · 71-77L · 75-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024.11.10 | Guelph | 68 : 85 | Toronto |
| 2016.02.20 | Guelph | 84 : 79 | Toronto |
| 2015.02.08 | Toronto | 73 : 71 | Guelph |