Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CIS
Canada
WaterlooHOME · -
75 : 902016.02.14 · 종료
GuelphAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.5%
VALUE EDGE+57.5%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
WaterlooAnalysis MetricsGuelph
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-11.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.17
131.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
154.00
33.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
1.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
72/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Waterloo
L · 64-84L · 81-68L · 96-68L · 86-58L · 46-65
Guelph
L · 102-91W · 87-94L · 93-81W · 60-80L · 83-49
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.01.26 | Guelph | 70 : 73 | Waterloo |
| 2025.01.12 | Waterloo | 63 : 73 | Guelph |
| 2016.02.14 | Waterloo | 75 : 90 | Guelph |
| 2015.01.22 | Guelph | 92 : 60 | Waterloo |