Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
CEBL
Canada · CEBL - Quarter-finals
Calgary SurgeHOME · -
84 : 682023.08.07 · 종료
Edmonton StingersAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME59.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY40.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+59.4%
VALUE EDGE+59.4%
FAIR ODDS1.68
GRADES
Calgary SurgeAnalysis MetricsEdmonton Stingers
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
25.0%
+0.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
180.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
192.50
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
28.6%
9.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation8.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Calgary Surge
W · 89-92W · 85-67W · 79-64W · 96-82L · 100-75
Edmonton Stingers
W · 81-87W · 86-98L · 85-67L · 84-74W · 70-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.07.27 | Edmonton Stingers | 100 : 89 | Calgary Surge |
| 2026.07.25 | Calgary Surge | 101 : 88 | Edmonton Stingers |
| 2026.07.02 | Edmonton Stingers | 95 : 87 | Calgary Surge |
| 2026.06.01 | Calgary Surge | 98 : 104 | Edmonton Stingers |
| 2025.08.15 | Calgary Surge | 103 : 95 | Edmonton Stingers |
| 2025.07.07 | Edmonton Stingers | 113 : 90 | Calgary Surge |
| 2025.06.20 | Calgary Surge | 95 : 98 | Edmonton Stingers |
| 2025.05.12 | Edmonton Stingers | 84 : 86 | Calgary Surge |
| 2023.08.07 | Calgary Surge | 84 : 68 | Edmonton Stingers |
| 2023.07.27 | Calgary Surge | 85 : 67 | Edmonton Stingers |