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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Bulgaria · NBL - Final
BalkanHOME · -
82 : 782015.05.28 · 종료
AcademicAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK AWAY 53.0% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +58.5%
VALUE EDGE+58.5%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
BalkanAnalysis MetricsAcademic
58.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
+2.83 Point MarginHigher is better -10.00
152.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 169.00
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 28.6%
2.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.9 / 15
Prediction separation7.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
41.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
58.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Balkan
W · 80-88L · 82-81W · 84-65L · 85-68W · 80-85
Academic
L · 80-88W · 82-81W · 81-83L · 91-65W · 94-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.03.08Balkan101 : 72Academic
2019.12.15Balkan101 : 78Academic
2019.10.13Academic88 : 102Balkan
2015.06.02Academic87 : 77Balkan
2015.05.30Balkan78 : 80Academic
2015.05.28Balkan82 : 78Academic
2015.05.26Academic80 : 88Balkan
2015.05.24Academic82 : 81Balkan
2015.03.08Academic90 : 75Balkan
2014.12.20Academic88 : 80Balkan