Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · NBL - 3rd place
Cherno MoreHOME · -
92 : 882015.05.27 · 종료
Rilski SportistAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.9%
VALUE EDGE+60.9%
FAIR ODDS1.64
GRADEA
Cherno MoreAnalysis MetricsRilski Sportist
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+6.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.50
163.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.17
80.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation9.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Cherno More
W · 79-93L · 81-83W · 91-65L · 94-86L · 86-66
Rilski Sportist
L · 79-93L · 84-65W · 85-68L · 80-85W · 72-77
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.01.05 | Cherno More | 93 : 96 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2019.11.02 | Rilski Sportist | 108 : 92 | Cherno More |
| 2015.05.27 | Cherno More | 92 : 88 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2015.05.24 | Rilski Sportist | 79 : 93 | Cherno More |
| 2015.04.12 | Rilski Sportist | 77 : 87 | Cherno More |
| 2015.02.02 | Rilski Sportist | 78 : 62 | Cherno More |
| 2014.04.12 | Cherno More | 79 : 86 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2014.01.27 | Cherno More | 93 : 72 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2013.11.24 | Rilski Sportist | 78 : 80 | Cherno More |