Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · NBL - Semi-finals
Rilski SportistHOME · -
85 : 682015.05.17 · 종료
BalkanAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.1%
VALUE EDGE+54.1%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
Rilski SportistAnalysis MetricsBalkan
50.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-1.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.83
171.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.00
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation3.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rilski Sportist
L · 80-85W · 72-77L · 91-66W · 65-78W · 94-86
Balkan
W · 80-85L · 72-77W · 91-66W · 90-74L · 78-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.16 | Balkan | 94 : 83 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2022.10.04 | Balkan | 60 : 70 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2019.12.29 | Rilski Sportist | 93 : 94 | Balkan |
| 2019.10.27 | Balkan | 85 : 83 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2015.05.20 | Balkan | 84 : 65 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2015.05.17 | Rilski Sportist | 85 : 68 | Balkan |
| 2015.05.15 | Rilski Sportist | 80 : 85 | Balkan |
| 2015.05.12 | Balkan | 72 : 77 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2015.05.10 | Balkan | 91 : 66 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2015.04.26 | Balkan | 82 : 85 | Rilski Sportist |