Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · NBL - Semi-finals
AcademicHOME · -
86 : 662015.05.09 · 종료
Cherno MoreAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME80.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY19.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 84.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+80.7%
VALUE EDGE+80.7%
FAIR ODDS1.24
GRADEA
AcademicAnalysis MetricsCherno More
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-10.00
Point MarginHigher is better
+6.42
169.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.58
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
71.4%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Academic
W · 57-124W · 119-51W · 86-72W · 70-106W · 101-88
Cherno More
W · 68-77W · 93-71L · 86-72W · 87-82W · 77-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.03.01 | Academic | 89 : 72 | Cherno More |
| 2019.12.10 | Cherno More | 85 : 64 | Academic |
| 2019.10.06 | Academic | 92 : 89 | Cherno More |
| 2015.05.16 | Cherno More | 81 : 83 | Academic |
| 2015.05.14 | Cherno More | 91 : 65 | Academic |
| 2015.05.11 | Academic | 94 : 86 | Cherno More |
| 2015.05.09 | Academic | 86 : 66 | Cherno More |
| 2015.04.26 | Academic | 86 : 72 | Cherno More |
| 2014.12.06 | Cherno More | 82 : 87 | Academic |
| 2014.05.16 | Cherno More | 64 : 82 | Academic |