Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · NBL - Quarter-finals
BeroeHOME · -
65 : 782015.05.05 · 종료
Rilski SportistAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME42.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+57.3%
VALUE EDGE+57.3%
FAIR ODDS1.75
GRADEA
BeroeAnalysis MetricsRilski Sportist
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+0.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.50
179.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.17
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement15.0 / 15
Prediction separation6.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Beroe
L · 94-86W · 104-57L · 88-86L · 65-90W · 104-64
Rilski Sportist
W · 94-86W · 82-85W · 108-89W · 62-81L · 77-87
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2020.01.19 | Rilski Sportist | 78 : 75 | Beroe |
| 2019.11.17 | Beroe | 90 : 86 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2015.05.05 | Beroe | 65 : 78 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2015.05.03 | Rilski Sportist | 94 : 86 | Beroe |
| 2015.03.19 | Rilski Sportist | 88 : 72 | Beroe |
| 2015.01.11 | Beroe | 66 : 73 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2014.11.01 | Rilski Sportist | 98 : 82 | Beroe |
| 2014.03.16 | Rilski Sportist | 78 : 88 | Beroe |
| 2013.12.28 | Rilski Sportist | 95 : 64 | Beroe |
| 2013.10.27 | Beroe | 72 : 93 | Rilski Sportist |