Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · NBL - Quarter-finals
YambolHOME · -
78 : 752015.05.03 · 종료
BalkanAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME21.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY78.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+78.5%
VALUE EDGE+78.5%
FAIR ODDS1.27
GRADES
YambolAnalysis MetricsBalkan
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-18.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+2.83
161.17
Pace ProxyComparison metric
152.00
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
76/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Yambol
L · 94-83W · 93-91L · 108-89L · 86-93L · 91-83
Balkan
W · 94-83L · 82-85W · 86-93W · 81-69W · 60-110
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.24 | Yambol | 73 : 84 | Balkan |
| 2023.03.22 | Balkan | 97 : 66 | Yambol |
| 2020.01.24 | Yambol | 74 : 85 | Balkan |
| 2019.11.24 | Balkan | 112 : 86 | Yambol |
| 2015.05.06 | Balkan | 90 : 74 | Yambol |
| 2015.05.03 | Yambol | 78 : 75 | Balkan |
| 2015.05.01 | Balkan | 94 : 83 | Yambol |
| 2015.04.11 | Yambol | 86 : 93 | Balkan |
| 2015.02.01 | Balkan | 105 : 68 | Yambol |
| 2014.11.23 | Yambol | 86 : 97 | Balkan |