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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Bulgaria · NBL - Quarter-finals
AcademicHOME · -
119 : 512015.05.01 · 종료
ChernomoretsAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME88.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY12.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 88.9% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +88.0%
VALUE EDGE+88.0%
FAIR ODDS1.14
GRADEA
AcademicAnalysis MetricsChernomorets
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 16.7%
-10.00 Point MarginHigher is better -17.00
169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.67
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 0.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.1 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
88.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
12.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Academic
W · 86-72W · 70-106W · 101-88W · 65-90W · 56-110
Chernomorets
L · 104-57L · 70-106L · 77-89L · 136-70L · 60-110

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.02.02Academic99 : 94Chernomorets
2019.12.01Chernomorets84 : 86Academic
2015.05.02Chernomorets57 : 124Academic
2015.05.01Academic119 : 51Chernomorets
2015.04.19Chernomorets70 : 106Academic
2015.02.07Chernomorets51 : 96Academic
2014.11.29Academic101 : 52Chernomorets
2014.05.03Chernomorets79 : 119Academic
2014.05.01Academic97 : 60Chernomorets
2014.04.06Chernomorets77 : 102Academic