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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

NBL Bulgaria · 27
AcademicHOME · -
86 : 722015.04.26 · 종료
Cherno MoreAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME76.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY23.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 77.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +76.2%
VALUE EDGE+76.2%
FAIR ODDS1.31
GRADEA
AcademicAnalysis MetricsCherno More
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
-10.00 Point MarginHigher is better +6.42
169.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.58
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 71.4%
7.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

69/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement4.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
76.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
23.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Academic
W · 70-106W · 101-88W · 65-90W · 56-110W · 91-83
Cherno More
W · 87-82W · 77-87L · 81-69W · 91-83W · 85-67

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2020.03.01Academic89 : 72Cherno More
2019.12.10Cherno More85 : 64Academic
2019.10.06Academic92 : 89Cherno More
2015.05.16Cherno More81 : 83Academic
2015.05.14Cherno More91 : 65Academic
2015.05.11Academic94 : 86Cherno More
2015.05.09Academic86 : 66Cherno More
2015.04.26Academic86 : 72Cherno More
2014.12.06Cherno More82 : 87Academic
2014.05.16Cherno More64 : 82Academic