Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
NBL
Bulgaria · 27
BalkanHOME · -
82 : 852015.04.26 · 종료
Rilski SportistAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME78.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY21.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+78.1%
VALUE EDGE+78.1%
FAIR ODDS1.28
GRADEA
BalkanAnalysis MetricsRilski Sportist
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
+2.83
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.50
152.00
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.17
42.9%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
33.3%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
8.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement11.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Balkan
W · 86-93W · 81-69W · 60-110W · 91-78W · 79-65
Rilski Sportist
W · 108-89W · 62-81L · 77-87W · 136-70W · 88-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.03.16 | Balkan | 94 : 83 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2022.10.04 | Balkan | 60 : 70 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2019.12.29 | Rilski Sportist | 93 : 94 | Balkan |
| 2019.10.27 | Balkan | 85 : 83 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2015.05.20 | Balkan | 84 : 65 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2015.05.17 | Rilski Sportist | 85 : 68 | Balkan |
| 2015.05.15 | Rilski Sportist | 80 : 85 | Balkan |
| 2015.05.12 | Balkan | 72 : 77 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2015.05.10 | Balkan | 91 : 66 | Rilski Sportist |
| 2015.04.26 | Balkan | 82 : 85 | Rilski Sportist |